Green stretches lead to three at Fontana

Golf Betting Lines

06/09/2007 - Vienna, Austria (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Australian Richard Green extended his lead to three strokes through three rounds of the BA-CA Golf Open.

Green posted a four-under 67 Saturday at Fontana Golf Club to complete 54 holes at 15-under-par 198.

England's Richard McEvoy climbed into a second place at 12-under-par 201 thanks to a third-round 64. Miguel Angel Jimenez and Steven Jeppesen each shot 69 on Saturday and share third place at minus-11.

Green is on track for his first win since claiming his lone European Tour title at the 1997 Dubai Desert Classic. He got off to a steady start with eight straight pars.

Martin Erlandsson, who played in the final pairing with Green, birdied the third to join Green in the lead at 11-under. Erlandsson had several chances to grab the lead on his own, but could not convert.

The 36-year-old Green finally got on the board with a birdie on the par-five ninth. Around the turn, he rolled in consecutive nine-foot birdie putts from the 12th to move to 14-under, two clear of McEvoy.

Green parred his next four holes to remain there. At the par-five 18th, Green two-putted for birdie to finish three clear of the field as he has played the 18th at four-under through three rounds.

"I feel comfortable on the course, it suits the way I like to putt," admitted Green. "I'll be fairly anxious to win because it's been a long time, but I won't be desperate because I'm not going to put any undue pressure on myself. It's hard to put a finger on why I've not won again, but I do now have more self-belief."

McEvoy jumped from a share of 14th into second with a solid round. He tripped to a bogey on the second to open his round, but came back with birdies on three and four.

The Englishman turned in eight-under thanks to birdies at six and nine. Four more birdies on the back nine moved McEvoy into second place at 12-under.

"It's a bit tough at times when they are going out and winning tournaments, especially Luke (Donald), and you remember being at their standard, but it does give you the determination to do it," said McEvoy of his 2001 Walker Cup teammates Donald, Graeme McDowell, Nick Dougherty and Marc Warren.

McEvoy has had a tough start to his season as he has missed the cut in six of his first seven starts and eight of 11 overall.

Swedes Johan Skold and Michael Jonzon each posted seven-under 64s Saturday to move into a share of fifth place at 10-under-par 203. They were joined there by David Park (68).

Chris Gane (64), Jean-Francois Remesy (65), Gary Orr (66), Jarmo Sandelin (69), Shaun P. Webster (68) and Graeme Storm (69) are tied for eighth at minus-nine.

Erlandsson stumbled on the back nine with a bogey on 15 and a double-bogey at 16. He slid into a share of 14th at eight-under-par 205.

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Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite.  Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight.  With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites.  As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).

Midwest

#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler

The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April.  Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT.  After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games.  Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season.  As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers.  Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS).  Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field.  With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.

#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV

As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year.  If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season.  As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well.  This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons.  Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late.  There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games.  It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.

East

#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown

“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season.  Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU.  They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games.  With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field.  Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense.  Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc.  The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range.  Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.

#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC

The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country.  Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times.  Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter.  UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen.  UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS.  An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games.  This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS.  USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types.  An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough.  USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS.  They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12.  When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.

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